Restricted trade-ups
10 Mil-Spec skins in. Output: one Restricted skin.
Ten Mil-Spec skins go in. One Restricted skin comes out.
A positive expected P/L can sit next to a small share of outcomes above cost. Read both numbers. The average can be carried by one outcome you are unlikely to draw.
Each collection's share of the draw equals how many of the 10 inputs came from it, divided by 10. That share is split evenly across the next-rarity skins in the collection.
953,491 active trade-ups, 73,625 with positive expected profit after fees. The table is this tier only, above $1 expected P/L, listings still active.
Cost includes buyer fees: CSFloat 2.8% + $0.30, DMarket 2.5%, Skinport 0%, Buff 3.5% + $0.15. Outcome prices are after CSFloat's 2% seller fee. Prices refresh continuously. Check each listing before you buy.
No active trade-ups above $1 expected P/L in this list right now. Listings sell and prices move. Open the board. The free view is delayed 3 hours.
Common questions
Can expected P/L be positive when most outcomes are below cost?
Yes. Expected P/L is the probability-weighted average. One high-priced outcome can lift the average while most outcomes still sell for less than the inputs cost.
Which fees are included?
Cost includes buyer fees: CSFloat 2.8% + $0.30, DMarket 2.5%, Skinport 0%, Buff 3.5% + $0.15. Outcome prices are after CSFloat's 2% seller fee. Prices refresh continuously. Check each listing before you buy.
Open the board. The free view is delayed 3 hours. Verify and Claim are Pro features. Signing in with Steam is free.
See Pro plans. Pro is $6.99/mo, with the board in real time, Verify (20/hr), and Claim (10/hr, up to 5 active). The free board is delayed 3 hours.